Wednesday, 24 July 2019

ICRA DOWNGRADES YESBANK.

YESBANK currently becoming full Volatile due to continue everyday being in news sometimes good and sometimes bad news.

Continued concerns asset quality has led to another downgrade of mid-sized private sector lender YESBANK long term ratings in as many months and has also given a negative outlook.

This is the second such rating action on the bank's outstanding instruments since May and comes amid reports that the bank, now under a new head, is looking to raise core capital to ward off more troubles.

"Rating downgrade factors in the increase in stress, as reflected by a rise in BB- and below-rated exposures and fresh slippages, as well as lack of any resolutions," Icra said in a note July 24.

Yes Bank's gross NPAs and below investment grade loans zoomed to Rs 41,558 crore ion the June quarter from Rs 30,772 crore in March. After provisions, net BB-and below-rated exposures and net NPAs stood at Rs 34,082 crore in the June quarter compared to Rs 24,741 crore in March.

Going forward, credit provisioning is expected to remain high, which will translate into a "moderation in earnings", the agency warned.
Already, the bank, under new chief executive and managing director Ravneet Gill, who succeeded promoter-chief executive Rana Kapoor, who was asked by RBI to leave by January for lapses on the governance front, has showed a massive dent in earnings for two successive quarters.

The bank had reported its maiden loss of Rs 1,506 crore in March quarter and but managed to return to the black in the June quarter with a paltry Rs 96 crore of net income, which was down a massive 92 percent.

"Given the sizeable stressed exposure in relation to the equity capital, the accelerated resolution of these exposures would remain a key rating concern. The inability to reduce the stressed exposure book or a further increase in the same will remain a rating negative," the report warned.

The agency also said the bank's core equity has weakened due to growth in the risk weighted assets and elevated provisioning. Its CET-I ratio slipped to 8 percent as of June 30, from 8.4 percent as of March and 9.70 percent in March 2018, as against the minimum regulatory requirement of 7.375 percent for March 2019 and 8 percent for March 2020.

Stating that the bank has to raise capital on an "immediate basis", the agency doubted its "ability to raise capital considering the recent poor performance". The bank will also need to accelerate resolution and recovery apart from calibrating growth to restore capital cushion, it added.

The agency has seven outstanding ratings on the bank's various instruments worth Rs 52,911 crore and it has downgraded all of them with negative outlook.

Credit challenges include decline in operating profitability on account of interest reversals and moderation in fee income, spike in gross NPAs, a weakened capital cushion, high share of wholesale liabilities which pushes up interest rates and a high concentration of corporate sector in its loan book, the agency said.

On the positive side, the noted the focus on getting loan book broad-based and stable deposit profile.


133 comments:

  1. Bajaj auto call 2700 premium hows working tomorrow i have 4 lots at 4rs.price

    ReplyDelete
  2. Your views on Canara bank?
    Shorted 2 lots @250

    ReplyDelete
  3. Where do you see Nifty tomorrow on expiry day? And Bank Nifty?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 11150 is major support let see
      Banknifty 28700 is major support

      Delete
  4. Yes bank mein bad news, sbi mein bad news, maybe gap down opening tomorrow.... Please suggest sir i have banknifty pe 28900 @ 72... What should I expect at the opening??? Should I book right at the opening or wait for few levels???? Please suggest sir

    ReplyDelete
  5. sir waiting for some good shoots For FUT

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  6. Any view on Heg,Graphite,National peroxide & pauspak for 1 year horizon as already holding.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Hi sir is this the right time to pick some script for longterm.
    Then suggest 8/10 stock for long term i want to invest 1/2 lacs per stock

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes for that read my multicap long term picks

      Delete
  8. Hi Raj, What are your views on Affle IPO?

    ReplyDelete
  9. Sir, Whats your view on RBL Bank now. I have one lot august long at 469.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Sir how is navin flourine for long term portfolio and is it feasible to buy it at cmp??

    ReplyDelete
  11. Sir, request to you please decide time for your call. If possible
    Thnks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Call does not have specific time

      But mostly after 2 pm

      Delete
  12. Sir today 11230 possible ?

    ReplyDelete
  13. Raj Sir,

    I have shorted SRTRFIN @998 2 lots
    canara bank @248 2 lots

    Should I carry forward position or book profit?

    Level for booking profit?

    Thanking you in advance for your valuable suggestion!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hold currently book tomorrow if opens gap down

      Delete
  14. Also sir pls share ur views on daawat for 1 month.Can we expect 25 levels??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Keep some SL it is always important target is not important

      Delete
    2. Sir will keep sl always from now
      Just tell on ur views on it??
      Apke views milne se tasalli rehtichai mann mei

      Delete
    3. Keep Sl of 18

      If smallcap rally than only it will move up

      Delete
  15. Sir is this the right time invest in share market for longterm.
    Then suggest 8/10 stock for longterm.
    I want to invest 1/2 per stock

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes for that read my multicap long term post

      Delete
    2. But sir in that u had suggested 15 stock.
      If i want to choose any 5 of the which will be that stock

      Delete
  16. Sir kindly advise on bank of Baroda...holding 120ce of august

    ReplyDelete
  17. Yes bank 161 ke 400 sher hai

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. At current price no meaning to sell hold it

      Delete
  18. Sir,

    I have Jublient food 1300 Call option Aug series.... What is your view???

    ReplyDelete
  19. Hello sir
    What will be the target for Tata motors tomorrow

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No target there is nothing like target in this world

      Delete
    2. Means how much down it will open tomorrow

      Delete
  20. Sir I am holding indigo 1400 pe aug series @ 22.. Can we get target of 100 in this month.....pls advice

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes I have only said target but I also said to book jackpot profit @45 and also given a trailing SL of 32

      If you follow me follow full otherwise don't follow

      Also I have said that if you want to book @45 than book but don't ask me this question again what to do In it

      Delete
  21. Hi Raj Sir

    Your analysis always rocks
    Waiting for your calls eagarly 😊
    Following your each update can make good money

    ReplyDelete
  22. Sir.... No problem...sorry for irritatting question sir....

    ReplyDelete
  23. Sir, tomorrow 11150 possible ?

    ReplyDelete
  24. Rajbhai your views on Larsen. It has fallen heavily. What will be good levels to enter

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Back to original levels. Power of long term investing☺️☺️

      Delete
    2. Better to find other stock than LT

      Delete
  25. Sir g i want to invest some money in share market.
    And i want to Invest in diffrent sect such as.
    Private bank.
    Psu bank.
    Auto sector.
    Pharma sector.
    It sector.
    Fmcg.
    Cap and goods.
    Counsumer durable.
    Metal.
    Oil & gas.
    Can u suggest any two stock frm all this each above sector for long term

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Read my long term multicap picks for long term post

      Delete
    2. I had read your long term multucap pick post.
      But if i want to chooce any 5 of them what will be that jackpot share

      Delete
    3. If you want to do sip than do in all it is called diversification

      Delete
    4. But i dont have that much fund.
      Thats y am thinking to invest in 3/5 stock only

      Delete
    5. HDFC ; Britannia ; HDFC AMC ; HDFC life

      Delete
    6. What is the meaning of sip sir

      Delete
    7. Systemic investment planning

      For more info search on Google or see on YouTube

      Delete
  26. Hi sir,

    I am watching your calls just rocking, I am willing to trade only in option by taking 1 lot, already lost heavily in market by my fault & other paid service. Can i follow your calls sir.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes you can follow but better to trade in Futures with strict sl

      Delete
  27. Sir future calls decreased from few days its due to budjet effect?

    ReplyDelete
  28. Sir nifty mein break out go gaya???

    ReplyDelete
  29. Whether to but reliance on any dip below 1220 or just. Wait and watch looking for short term investment

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If break 1210 and sustain than 1190-1170 is possible buy there

      Delete
  30. sir

    Some stake sale news is coming for zeel due to which it's going up can we buy, please suggest.

    ReplyDelete
  31. Dear Raj Sir,

    Need your help on trading psychology... a silly question...

    i trade on intraday basis, in starting first half hour I SEE profit of 10,000-20,000/-

    but at the end of day my positions closes on negative side.

    Whether my leverage/position size is high or what else?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is due to overtrading

      Just close your position when get 10000 rs and enjoy the day don't trade and if than also if you want to trade than trade with very small position

      Delete
    2. yess....
      But my greed doesnt stop me.
      I continue trading for more profit.
      Dont know how to control.

      Delete
    3. If you want to make profit than you have to control it

      Delete
  32. Hello sir bank nifty 29000pe 130 ka hai kya karu hold ya exit

    ReplyDelete
  33. Any views on PNB results and is it good to buy 75call for this expiry

    ReplyDelete
  34. Sir today any good news on Bajajfinsv as 450 points up and yesterday it has fallan down 250 points is it good in invest in bajafinsv now the share price is 7233 will still go up

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If your view is long term than invest otherwise don't invest

      Delete
  35. Can we invest in Yes bank now as the price is going up today 9% your view on this sir

    ReplyDelete
  36. Sir your view on pageindus.
    Buying price is 21000

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. What will be major support and resistance of it

      Delete
    2. Currently all support are broken but for long term this stock is good just hold for long term

      Delete
  37. Hi, what is the status with your earlier recommendation of Bajaj Electrical
    Should we average or sell

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nope now don't avg it as below 440 it is weak

      Delete
  38. Sir Monday buy bank nifty 29300 call ?

    ReplyDelete
  39. Good evening sir ji..
    Nifty niche me kaha tak ja sakta hai?
    Ya ab bounce back karega?

    ReplyDelete
  40. Sir ji..HDFC group chor ke...2-3 aisa solid stock bataiye ..JO HUME LONG TERM ME LAMBA PROFIT DE..
    Kuch paisa invest kar chor dunga..

    ReplyDelete
  41. Sir ji..Axisbank me position long hai...monday kaha tak jayega?
    Any target sir ji?

    ReplyDelete
  42. Sir should I invest in MRF ya Page industry
    @ CMP ?

    ReplyDelete
  43. Sir....i couldn't book profit on indigo and i m still holding indigo 1400pe@30...
    Shall I exit or hold?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Exit

      Next time learn from this mistake and take this experience as opportunity

      Delete
  44. Hi Mr Raj,

    I have the following stocks and the average price of buy mentioned. Can u give your feedback on this whether to book profit, sell and hold pls?

    1). Axis Bank -520/-
    2). Bajaj Finance - 2400/-
    3). Cochin Ship Yard - 490/-
    4). Hindalco - 143/-
    5). ICICI Bank - Rs.300/-
    6). KMC Speciality Hospital - Rs.18/-
    7). LT - Rs.1100/-
    8). Maruti - Rs.8000/-
    9). SBI - Rs.260/-
    10). VGuard - Rs.158/-
    11). Voltas - Rs.480/-

    My investment tenure is 5 plus years. Let me know you suggestions.

    Thanks in advance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hindalco exit

      KMC I am not tracking so don't know about it

      Rest all 9 are very good stocks hold it

      Delete
  45. Hi Sir,

    Your view on the following stocks pls.

    Eicher Motors - in 40% loss now

    Engineers India - 40% loss

    Essel Pro Pack - 10% loss

    Biocon - 10% loss

    Marico - 10% profit

    Asian Paints - 20% profit

    Berger Paint - 20% profit.

    Let me know whether to hold or exit.

    Also being an expert, need your suggestion on when to book profit or exit from our long term holdings. Normally for short term we have Stop Loss and Target. Like wise any suggestion for SL and Target for Long Term holdings from your experience is appreciated. May be in % of return terms.

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If get double than sell 50%

      From Eicher motors exit on rise and shift to Maruti

      Rest all hold

      Delete
  46. Hi sir what is the view on ITC aug series and result bet is it the right time to buy
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
  47. Hi sir
    Your view on the following stocks pls.
    1.Ashokley avg 93/-
    2.infibeam avg 49/-

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ashok Leyland if your view is of 3-5 years than only hold

      Infibeam clear exit

      Delete
  48. Hi, I took yesbank call 95 @10.80.
    What can I do now?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yesbank can only run if any fund infusion news come otherwise it will go down only.
      So see your risk to Reward and decide

      Delete
    2. Thank you. Do you see any such fund raising news will come up before expiry 29 Aug.?

      Delete
    3. How can I say I am not in management of yesbank

      Delete
  49. Sir, All my shares are in huge loss. When will market recover sir. Majorly HUDCO I hold at avg 69.please sugget me sir what to do?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If your view is long term than hold otherwise exit

      Delete
  50. Sir, your calls are awesome and accurate...truly appreciate your service and support to all of us..
    One request, try to give more options calls going ahead..

    Thanks in advance

    ReplyDelete
  51. Hi Raj what a brilliant call Made 4.8 k profit. Keep giving such rocket and jackpot calls Awesome Even though Market is Up Yes Bank down 8% Thank You

    ReplyDelete
  52. Hi Raj need your view on HEROMOTOCO,More downside possible from current level 2566? 2500 or 2450 possible by tomorrow?

    ReplyDelete
  53. Hi Raj Need your view on Yes Bank I am holding one lot of Yes Bank PE of Strike price 70 @2.45, Tomorrow More downfall possible or exit at the opening?

    ReplyDelete
  54. Hi Raj what a Brilliant Advice Thank you so much Booked 4000Rs Profit from Yes Bank PE Today.

    ReplyDelete