Monday, 8 July 2019

Why stock Market are crashing heavily ?

Hi Friends as you all know on the day of the budget I have clearly told you all that budget is not good for stock market don't buy anything just sell what you have if you are a trader told on the day of budget 5th July after that market has fallen 1300 points hope you all those who are falling me have made and saved lots of money.

Now as many people have questions that why market is falling heavily ?
Here is the answer there are 3 negative points in the budget for the stock market.

1 - Public holding limit to increase from 25% to 35%.

As said in budget that public share holding limit to be extend to 35% still decision in pending as decision is to be taken by SEBI only.

As promoter is owner of company and if promoter is holding more shares than only they will be interested in company to do well so if they decrease there holding than it will be negative for stock and as well as market due to more supply of shares will come to Market.

So many of good MNC company may prefer to do delisting than to sell their own stocks.

Note - still decision is pending and has to be taken my SEBI as SEBI as only authority to make rules about promoter holding.

2 - 20% percent tax on buyback

20% Tax on buyback it has also negative for stock market as in buyback company buy it's own shares at current or above market price so they are already paying more money to buy it's own shares as generally buyback is above stock price but there also 20% tax so many companies will not do buyback so it is also negative for stock market.

As as to buy it's own shares of company they have to pay 20% tax so it is not good for stocks and stock market.

3 - 20% percent tax on dividend

Dividend is the part of profit (money) that comapny credit (pays) share holders get when company is making profit.

As company has already paid tax on their profit and the rest net profit is only given in dividend so there also company have to again pay 20% tax so now many companies will give less dividend or ignore paying dividends so it is also a negative for stock market as many people invest in stocks only for dividend.

So these 3 are the main reason of fall in stock market.

Hope this article will be helpful to you all and all your doubt will be clear now.


148 comments:

  1. Thanks a lot Raj bhai for your great calls. Made profit of 16000 from both short calls of Ultratech and ZEEL. Keep rocking and god bless you

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hello sir

    Am Srinivàs, kindly give your view for the following stocks

    Glenmark 1 lot (Buy)
    Yes bank 1 lot (Buy)
    In Futures, pls share your view upto expiry date..

    ReplyDelete
  3. Rajbai please provide calls in optional trading.we have less capital.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you all support than I will definitely provide

      Delete
    2. Please sir i also want you to please provide call in option also

      Delete
    3. If you all support I will definitely give option calls..

      If you want to support our channel than you can add new members to it.

      Delete
  4. Hello Raj,
    Still some more corrections is expected? If so please share the support and resistance of nifty.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Raj Ji,


    Today earned 5k in zeel... Thanks... Your positional calls are awesome blossom... Big fan of ur positional calls...

    Air bajaj finance and bajaj finserve bahut gir Gaye aaj... Any view on them...

    Can I short zeel again near 338 if get?

    Nifty kitna air for Sakta hai

    Plz advice.

    God bless u

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you very much

      You can sell zeel on rise

      Delete
    2. Nifty currently 11500-11400 is major support let's see now

      Delete
  6. Hi sir,
    Good information
    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  7. Thank you for ur explanation on market.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Your view on recltd can I short at current price ?
    What is the resistance and support

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes you can sell resistance at 170 support at 150

      Delete
  9. Replies
    1. It is poor fundamental stock till now it has not given any good returns since years

      Delete
  10. Your views on titan and Bajaj Finance?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Titan currently sell on rise

      Bajaj finance buy near 3200

      Delete
  11. sameer bhargava
    hi what levels of index you are foreseeing?

    ReplyDelete
  12. Sir, good morning
    I have taken Reliance 1300ce options bought at 25.35 ; cmp is 13.15; and NBCC 65CE at 1.75 and its cmp is 0.30 on budget day; should I wait till expiry or sell it off; please advice

    ReplyDelete
  13. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Thanks for the wonderful insights :)
    As an investor, what should we do?
    Would you please share some stocks for long term investments (about 3-5 years)?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Investors have no problem just hold on what you are holding

      Delete
    2. Thanks :)
      many of my new investments gone negative now. I'd average it in falls.

      Delete
    3. If your stocks are fundamentally Strong than avg

      Delete
  15. Sir please advise for Havells stock. I bought it in futures as it was fundamentally recommended that it will cross 800 after few days of annual result. I bought it on budget day @775 but it is continuously coming down. Kindly advise.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Hello sir what to do in wipro i bought for buy back perpose at 282 rate now what to do some says buy back probably stands cancel after new rule in budget i am getting confuse kindly share your view thank you

    ReplyDelete
  17. Thank you for sharing your views on market..first time traded your suggested call maruti future short...SL of 6080 was hit..if possible pls suggest option calls.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Read how to trade in my calls

      If sustian above 6080 than only you have to exit

      No problem better luck next time

      Delete
  18. Sir,

    Please guide on recltd bought aug future at 145 going down continuously scared now.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Exit on rise and again buy in dip

      Delete
    2. What should be the buying price as per u for rec.

      Heard news that recltd ll be out from f&o on 15th July hence the fall is.not sure how true this news is.

      Delete
    3. It is not a trading stock if you want to buy for long term to get dividend than only buy

      Delete
  19. today maruti first hit stop loss sir..trail stop loss.. please update that.
    your knowledge is awesome and so are your trades..
    but wen sl hits you do not update, if it goes up you say profit..if it goes down you say nothing. please provide support at such point. your supporr will help us sir. else we loose as much as we make.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Read how to trade in my calls post you will know that

      If sustian above SL than only exit.

      Delete
  20. Hiisir I am new hear ,,,how much cash need to be trading,,

    ReplyDelete
  21. Can you give a daily call for bank nifty and nifty?

    ReplyDelete
  22. Banknifty 31700 ka hai.kya karana.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Only 6 remaining in 4000.. waiting for 2-3 option callss.last time yes bank rocked..

    ReplyDelete
  24. Sir please suggest regarding investment made in Refex IND @ 78 making 52week high cmp 109

    ReplyDelete
  25. Sir after seeing sharp correction in TITAN today..What would u suggest buy or sell?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Titan is sell on rise stock already said yesterday in comment may be to you or someone else

      Delete
    2. Short term sell on rise if long term than buy on dip

      Depends on your timeframe

      Delete
  26. Rajbhai made good money in Zee trade. You have reduced number of calls but strike rate has shot up. Gr8 buddy. Your views needed bro on 2 position Dabur future buy @ 400.5 and Yes bank 95 Call option buy @ 5.25. Took Yes bank position expecting short covering and presult rally before results on 17

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yesbank major support at 87 resistance at 100

      Dabur exit on rise if your view is of some days

      Delete
    2. Thx Rajbhai for your timely advise on telegram for Yes bank. Exited Yes bank call @ 6.5 also booked profit in Dabur@ 409. Bro is it good to buy NCC around @ 85 for trading purpose?

      Delete
    3. Nope ncc is not good

      There are many better stocks

      Delete
    4. Bhai 95 CE came out early,😓😓😓 13 current. But happy that the view came true of short covering

      Delete
  27. Sir your view about bajaj finance
    I bought at 3335

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You have bought at great price
      If your view is of trading than book tomorrow

      If your view is of long term than hold on

      Delete
  28. sir. Any advise on NOCIL. Am holding at 30% loss. Should I average it now.

    ReplyDelete
  29. Sir today u did not gave any call

    ReplyDelete
  30. Dear Sir, am holding trident at 80 cmp 59.could you pls advise at what price can add more and a exit path.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks Sir.
      Congratulations on 4k members

      Delete
    2. Thank you very much

      It's only due to support of my friends like you

      Delete
  31. Sir
    I have johnson control in my portfolio and news is there about mnc delisting??
    Should i exit from johnson or hold?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Still there is no news

      But if it happens than you will be benefited

      Delete
    2. If you dont mind, can you give some short term and intra day calls for cash market players. We cant take future calls of yours because we are small investors.

      Delete
    3. When cash market stocks will rally I will definitely share

      Delete
  32. Hai Sir. You promised us you will share some good smallcap & midcap companies for invest after crossed 4000 members in telegram. Can we expect that?

    ReplyDelete
  33. Raja bhai congratulations for 4K members.
    Now, I hope your option calls will help even more people 😀

    ReplyDelete
  34. Sir ek solid option call Banta hai tomorrow

    ReplyDelete
  35. Sir Ji
    Now we are 4k hope you will share option calls when there is a good opportunity
    😄

    ReplyDelete
  36. Sir , you promised that you will share option calls once crossed 4000 members. Waiting sir

    ReplyDelete
  37. Hello sir,
    What is your view on godrejcp for (T+5) day..
    Plz suggest

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 660 was major support which is broken now next support is at 600

      Delete
  38. Dear Raj Sir

    I have purchased 1 lot of Jindal Steel Future July @142.9

    Still waiting to its come back!

    Please guide me as it has already touched 130.15 Low!

    Thank you in Advance sir🙏

    ReplyDelete
  39. Your views on ICICI Lombard and Aluflouride?.can I buy both at CMP?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ICICI Lombard is good

      Aluflouride I don't track

      Delete
  40. Hi Sirji,
    Planning to buy IDFC ???

    Also Pudumjee Paper??

    Any suggestions pls!

    ReplyDelete
  41. One shall salute you sir
    Not just providing calls and even you are reading and answering each and every post..So nice of you.

    ReplyDelete
  42. Hi sir am holding yes bank @380+320+280+250 can i buy CMP and average it for 2/3 years.
    Should i get my price

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If it cracks more after result than buy it and avg it

      You can get your avg price in 1-2 years

      Delete
  43. Hi raj bhai whats your view on venkys bout 2500 and 2200 average kar sakte hai yaha pe or buy on dip.
    For 1 years

    ReplyDelete
  44. Sir g can u suggest some long term multibeggar pick?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. HDFC AMC ; HDFC Bank ; HDFC ; HDFC life ;

      Delete
  45. Hi Sir, I brought Venky's @ 1675 can i hold it for short term will it recover in coming months ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes it will recover 1500 is major support for it keep on radar

      Delete
    2. Sir now its at 1528 shall i hold it or need to wait or to need to sell it. will it move up in coming days above 1700

      Delete
    3. It will need much patience if you have it than only you can earn from it

      Otherwise always trade with SL

      Keep 1 from this 2 if you want to make profit

      Delete
    4. ok Thanks Sir i ll wait Patiently till it moves up words

      Delete
  46. Sir yor view on bajaj electricls plzz.
    Buying price 580+520+470.
    I caan hold for 1/2 years

    ReplyDelete
  47. Hello sir I would like invest 1Lakh for six-months could you please sugest me the stock

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Currently avoid when stocks start to move up than invest

      Delete
    2. Currently if your view is of 2 year + than only INVEST

      Delete
  48. Hello sir,
    I am holding Maruti@ 6781, Qty 15.duration above 2yrs...plz advice... weather to hold or exit

    ReplyDelete
  49. Your views on Varun Beverages and SBI Life?.Can I invest now?

    ReplyDelete
  50. I have TataExli for Long term at 930. should i sell or add more now?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hold on currently add more if get @750

      It will surely give you multibagger returns

      Delete
  51. Sir g i had one question in my mind since many days.
    Am wahtching heg since it was 4900 and now its 1200.
    In 2017/18 he has run from 500 to 4950. In 2 years and it was a star performer of mid cap and also one of your fav. Cash market stock u also gave many buy call intraday call on it and now its falling down and down daily so what was reason behind it?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Reason is same it was going up as graphite electrodes price were increasing now it's falling due to graphite electrodes price are going down

      Delete
  52. Shorted bajaj finance at 3410..
    What will be the target?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 3440 is major resistance now

      3370-3350 you can cover

      Delete
  53. Sir I have DHFL 500 qty at 68.35

    ReplyDelete
  54. Raj ji, I am holding below shares since last 2 yrs. Should I continue to hold. Pls advise me few small cap equities that can be replaced with below that will minch me few bugs in next 2-3 yrs.
    SAIL EQ 200 units
    MMTC EQ 585
    FEDERAL BANK EQ 370
    SYNCOMP X 745
    MANAPPURAM EQ 185
    RALLIS EQ 200
    MIRZAT EQ 150
    GLOBAL VECT EQ 100
    V2RETAIL EQ 100

    Thank you
    Sreekumar

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Manappuram ; Mirza and V2 retail
      Hold rest all exit shift to better fundamental stock which you like

      Delete
  55. Sir your view on Nifty in next week Down trande possible on monday??

    ReplyDelete
  56. Hi Raj Sir,
    Thank you for running this brilliant channel and helping everyone. I would like your view on the market in the next 2-3 years as I plan to use the 2 out of 3 ELSS I have to fund my home. Thanks again.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Market are always good in long term

      You are welcome

      Delete
  57. Hello Sir, having great profits in your option calls.

    What is the reason behind yes bank 115 CE call, can we expect good results tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete
  58. Hello Mr. Raj,
    Could you please share you view on MCX, balkrishna industries & GNFC stocks.

    ReplyDelete
  59. Hello Sir, I had bought Trident 25000 shares at 62.30 based on your sure shot call. It have fallen to 55 level now. What to do now.

    ReplyDelete